Daren, those articles contain some useful information, but I don't agree with the spin put on them by the titles. Mixing up means confusing to me, but nevertheless combining the two test types is not helpful. Of course it depends on what question is being asked. If the pres asks how many tests are being done, total, then that's the number you give. Otherwise not good science. If the data coming from some states has the numbers already combined, the CDC or anyone can't uncombine the serology and the pcr data. Hopefully the states will do a better job and keep them separate from now on.The CDC has been all over the place. Where a mask, dont wear a mask. Same with Asymptomatic people spreading the disease, not spreading it. Constantly contradicting themselves on what to do.
They are accounting antibody tests as well as regular tests as positive cases.
CDC acknowledges mixing up coronavirus testing data
The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) acknowledged Thursday that it is combining the results from viral and antibody COVID-19 tests when reporting the country’s testing to…thehill.com
Lying about tests results.
The CDC Confesses to Lying About COVID-19 Death Numbers
The CDC Confesses to Lying About COVID-19 Death Numbers, Fake death data, CDC, coupled with wild guesstimates from experts, relentless barrage of fear porn the mainstream media subjects Americans to around the clockcanadafreepress.com
More lumping of test results.
How Virginia Juked Its COVID-19 Data
The state is combining results from viral and antibody tests in the same statistic. This threatens to confound America’s understanding of the pandemic.www.theatlantic.com
It ain't over yet unfortunately. That mortality number keeps changing, that number goes up and the population could go down, absent compensating births. So the fraction will change.Unfortunately MOST people are really bad at math so they are very easy to scare.
View attachment 45988
Also bear in mind, over 80,000 of the "deaths" happened in Hospice and long term care facilities (hardly Covid deaths). There are also thousands in the prisons where they let it go.
It is too bad that people are so mathematically challenged.
You know that the old saying, to paraphrase; "it doesn't matter how many people vote, it only matters who counts the vote."Daren, those articles contain some useful information, but I don't agree with the spin put on them by the titles. Mixing up means confusing to me, but nevertheless combining the two test types is not helpful. Of course it depends on what question is being asked. If the pres asks how many tests are being done, total, then that's the number you give. Otherwise not good science. If the data coming from some states has the numbers already combined, the CDC or anyone can't uncombine the serology and the pcr data. Hopefully the states will do a better job and keep them separate from now on.
As for the opinion of the physician in a small town, her third paragraph tells how it is:
"The Centers for Disease Control, updated from yesterday, April 4th, still states that mortality, quote unquote, data includes both confirmed and presumptive positive cases of COVID-19. "
You can not like how it is done, but they aren't lying. The forms to be submitted on someone's death include separate blanks for the possible things involved in someone's death. I posted links to the death certificate form some time ago, and also the CDC directions as to how to fill it out, but here is an opinion from Dr Nigel Paneth, an epidemiologist in Michigan in response to my question.
Every death gets a death certificate and a physician must certify immediate, underlying and contributory causes of death. These data are tabulated at the county and state level before being sent anywhere. CDC probably amalgamates state data.
He goes on to say
"This has been done this way for decades, with astonishingly stable and consistent death rates from many things. It is impossible to game this system without a massive conspiracy requiring thousands of state and county officials to collaborate.
Underlying diagnosis is used for the final diagnosis. Everyone in public health suspects undercounts because of people who die outside of hospitals, false negative tests, etc. NYC found 3,000+ deaths after careful investigation that were not recorded as COVID on the death certificate. "
My personal opinion is that there are no doubt errors. Undercounts and overcounts. Is there spin? Good grief yes, just look at the titles and compare with what you'd write about the same data. Look at your local data. I have just found out that the Johns Hopkins website takes the data from states directly so that is another means of double checking what you read. I have, and my conclusion is that we have a real problem.
When people are scared they usually dont.just think logically
Yeah, I knew it was a stretch.When people are scared they usually dont.
Happy Birthday Flip
Many happy returns! Ribeye sounds good...Thank you. Wife got 3 nice Ribeye's which I grilled last night on the grill. Had some chocolate cake for dessert.
Glad there were no candles, don't believe I could blow 70 out. Too hot anyway.
Many happy returns! Ribeye sounds good...
Happy Birthday Flip! Sounds like a delicious meal, but I guess you farm guys always eat better than us city boys!
UMMM, 99.96% survival rate? You can't survive something you haven't been infected with. Survival rate is 95.72%. Sure, the math is correct but the interpretation of the medical term 'survival rate' is way off. Survival rate is the number of people who recover divided by the number of people who were infected. The fact that they got this wrong makes me dubious that they had the best of intentions with that graphic. Numbers can be used to scare people, but they can also be used to give you a false sense of security. Regardless, I wish all my neighbours to the south the best of health and economic recovery during these difficult times.Unfortunately MOST people are really bad at math so they are very easy to scare.
View attachment 45988
Also bear in mind, over 80,000 of the "deaths" happened in Hospice and long term care facilities (hardly Covid deaths). There are also thousands in the prisons where they let it go.
It is too bad that people are so mathematically challenged.
Not at all. If anything it is way off the other way.UMMM, 99.96% survival rate? You can't survive something you haven't been infected with. Survival rate is 95.72%. Sure, the math is correct but the interpretation of the medical term 'survival rate' is way off. Survival rate is the number of people who recover divided by the number of people who were infected. The fact that they got this wrong makes me dubious that they had the best of intentions with that graphic. Numbers can be used to scare people, but they can also be used to give you a false sense of security. Regardless, I wish all my neighbours to the south the best of health and economic recovery during these difficult times.