TWA 800 fuel tank explosion theory

GeoHorn

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In a different discussion TWA 800 was brought up as it related to in-tank explosive fuel/air mixtures. TWA 800 was a Boeing 747 which departed NYC and during climb-out toward its’ cruising alittude suddenly exploded killing all aboard. There were many wild rumors of terrorism, mutiny, and U.S. Navy rocket-firings gone-astray… and it took months for an official investigation to be completed by the NTSB.

The NTSB …THEORIZED….(and I emphasize that because NTSB only postulated it was the boards OPINION ….that a Center Tank filled mostly with vapors (jet fuel/kerosene) ignited, POSSIBLY due to heat generated from outside forces (Aux Power Unit, etc) while sitting on the ground before departure, which facilitated an explosive gas-mixture (via heating the residual fuel in that tank) …and that an electrical short or spark provided the ignition to cause the in-flight explosion. Boeing vigorously denied that possibility, and offered the fact that many 747s with the identical fuel system have been operating for 4 or more decades without any Center tank fires, and that the 747 fuel system is closely copied in thousands of other aircraft none of which have suffered such failures.

The aircraft wreckage was scattered and sank in the ocean making reconstruction and positive identification of the exact cause very difficult with a wide possibility of erroneous conclusions. HOwever NTSB is charged with identifying the “likely“ or most-likely cause and their report is available for anyone who wishes to read it.

I am a retired airline transport pilot, flight instructor, FAA-designated pilot examiner,/ Training Center Evaluator, and former mfr’r production test pilot. I have my own theory which is equally (at least in my mind) plausible for the cause of that in-flight explosion.

While it may seem wild theory to most people, my 50+ year professional piloting experience has led me to have my own near-conviction as to a possible cause:
I have witnessed, usually at night, several near-misses of meteors near my aircraft. I was humorously jested by my crewmembers over my suggestion that some day I will die in an airplane struck by a meteor…. The jokes would give the jester great pleasure lightly ridiculing my theory in front of other crewmembers at the cocktail-bar at the end of the day…. …until they flew with me at night and saw it occur…and then they usually shut up with the jokes.
This pre-monition has been with me since around 1974 when I flew for a (now defunct) airline which operated/hub-ed at DFW. I had already witnessed a 3 or 4 near-misses of meteors while flying . (Being low-seniority I often ended up with less-preferred night flight schedules in my early career.)

On one later occasion, in 1980, having departed KIAH (then known as Houston Intercontinental but subsequently renamed to honor GHW Bush) … my crewmember and I were westbound and into a cruise-climb configuration on auto-pilot. I was “pilot flying” and JM McGrath was ”pilot monitoring” and he was filling out our manifest, wt and bal, paperwork on the current flight. It was after 10PM and the cockpit was in lowered-lighting for nightime visibility. I looked over to see what time he was entering for our actual time of lift-off …when the entire darkened cockpit was brilliantly illuminagted with a green-GLOW… from a passing meteor which was estimated to pass from behind us (East) to ahead of us (West)… passing directly overhead in a descent and dissappearing into the dark terrain 50 miles or more ahead of us. The light from that meteor completely overwhelmed our cockpit lighting to the degree that the flight-manifest was completely readable and the entire cockpit illuminated as if we’d turned on a large green overhead Dome Light or “Storm Lighting” (a feature of that airplane had cockpit flood-lights to prevent pilot blindness from nearby storm lightning… we normally only used that lighting to perform a pre-flight inspection of a newly-assigned cockpit at night before passenger baording.)
The comments made of that bright green meteor were profane.
The next day, a local news story appeared in the Texas A&M Univ. paper that a meteor had struck the woods just west of the local airport in College Station and A&M students were out attempting to find the remains.

McGrath and other crewmembers quit ridiculing my premonition that a meteor will some day strike my aircraft.

Back to TWA800: There were numerous “eye witnesses” who claimed that they saw a white trail of “smoke” or fumes from a rocket which climbed up from a nearby U.S. Navy missile frigate participating in an exercise off-shore of Long Island…toward the 747…which rapidly became a consipracy-theory/rumor that a missile had accidentaly shot down 800.
The subsequent denial by the Navy only furthered the conspiracy theories….and the NTSB pooh-pooh-ed the theory despite several witnesses claiming they saw that trail of smoke shooting upwards toward the flight.

It’s my personal theory that meteors don’t come down through the atmosphere only at night. I believe they do this all day long…and many many times without any observation whatsoever.

The wreckage widely scattered along the sea-floor amonst the mud and rocks would not be likely allow a meteor fragment (if it survived the disintegration of atmospheric-penetration) to be distinguised from the common rocks and non-aircraft objects lying all around. I doubt anyone would be able to identify an incandescent, hot-glowing rock which fell thru the upper atmosphere and passed thru an airliners’ fuel tanks…rupturing the tank…exposing the ullage (fuel vapors) to the air …and creating an explosive mixture sufficient to blow-apart a Boeing 747.

That…. I believe is a much more believable theory than that a single Boeing fuel system in one airplane blew up while thousands of other similar airplanes never do.

YMMV
 
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GeoHorn

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I’ll add a note: A meteor…after passing thru an airliner fuel tank… will probably leave a trail of smoke as it continues toward earth…and the resultant flames created by the incandescent rock..as it nears earth… will at some point ignite the too-rich vapors…which if that point of ignition-vs-vapors occurs toward the end-of-trajectory…. might appear to ignite near the ground and pass back UP toward the aircraft…. (air/oxygen being more dense nearer sea-level….might become a correct fuel-air mixture)…making it appear an object (missile) was actually climbing up toward that aircraft.
I believe it’s possible that witnesses DID SEE a vapor-trail pass UP-ward toward the aircraft. They simply mis-diagnosed the cause and it simply never occurred to anyone (including the NTSB) that a meteor could hit an airplane in daylight.

I’m thinking they got it wrong.
 

JimmyJazz

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In a different discussion TWA 800 was brought up as it related to in-tank explosive fuel/air mixtures. TWA 800 was a Boeing 747 which departed NYC and during climb-out toward its’ cruising alittude suddenly exploded killing all aboard. There were many wild rumors of terrorism, mutiny, and U.S. Navy rocket-firings gone-astray… and it took months for an official investigation to be completed by the NTSB.

The NTSB …THEORIZED….(and I emphasize that because NTSB only postulated it was the boards OPINION ….that a Center Tank filled mostly with vapors (jet fuel/kerosene) ignited, POSSIBLY due to heat generated from outside forces (Aux Power Unit, etc) while sitting on the ground before departure, which facilitated an explosive gas-mixture (via heating the residual fuel in that tank) …and that an electrical short or spark provided the ignition to cause the in-flight explosion. Boeing vigorously denied that possibility, and offered the fact that many 747s with the identical fuel system have been operating for 4 or more decades without any Center tank fires, and that the 747 fuel system is closely copied in thousands of other aircraft none of which have suffered such failures.

The aircraft wreckage was scattered and sank in the ocean making reconstruction and positive identification of the exact cause very difficult with a wide possibility of erroneous conclusions. HOwever NTSB is charged with identifying the “likely“ or most-likely cause and their report is available for anyone who wishes to read it.

I am a retired airline transport pilot, flight instructor, FAA-designated pilot examiner,/ Training Center Evaluator, and former mfr’r production test pilot. I have my own theory which is equally (at least in my mind) plausible for the cause of that in-flight explosion.

While it may seem wild theory to most people, my 50+ year professional piloting experience has led me to have my own near-conviction as to a possible cause:
I have witnessed, usually at night, several near-misses of meteors near my aircraft. I was humorously jested by my crewmembers over my suggestion that some day I will die in an airplane struck by a meteor…. The jokes would give the jester great pleasure lightly ridiculing my theory in front of other crewmembers at the cocktail-bar at the end of the day…. …until they flew with me at night and saw it occur…and then they usually shut up with the jokes.
This pre-monition has been with me since around 1974 when I flew for a (now defunct) airline which operated/hub-ed at DFW. I had already witnessed a 3 or 4 near-misses of meteors while flying . (Being low-seniority I often ended up with less-preferred night flight schedules in my early career.)

On one later occasion, in 1980, having departed KIAH (then known as Houston Intercontinental but subsequently renamed to honor GHW Bush) … my crewmember and I were westbound and into a cruise-climb configuration on auto-pilot. I was “pilot flying” and JM McGrath was ”pilot monitoring” and he was filling out our manifest, wt and bal, paperwork on the current flight. It was after 10PM and the cockpit was in lowered-lighting for nightime visibility. I looked over to see what time he was entering for our actual time of lift-off …when the entire darkened cockpit was brilliantly illuminagted with a green-GLOW… from a passing meteor which was estimated to pass from behind us (East) to ahead of us (West)… passing directly overhead in a descent and dissappearing into the dark terrain 50 miles or more ahead of us. The light from that meteor completely overwhelmed our cockpit lighting to the degree that the flight-manifest was completely readable and the entire cockpit illuminated as if we’d turned on a large green overhead Dome Light or “Storm Lighting” (a feature of that airplane had cockpit flood-lights to prevent pilot blindness from nearby storm lightning… we normally only used that lighting to perform a pre-flight inspection of a newly-assigned cockpit at night before passenger baording.)
The comments made of that bright green meteor were profane.
The next day, a local news story appeared in the Texas A&M Univ. paper that a meteor had struck the woods just west of the local airport in College Station and A&M students were out attempting to find the remains.

McGrath and other crewmembers quit ridiculing my premonition that a meteor will some day strike my aircraft.

Back to TWA800: There were numerous “eye witnesses” who claimed that they saw a white trail of “smoke” or fumes from a rocket which climbed up from a nearby U.S. Navy missile frigate participating in an exercise off-shore of Long Island…toward the 747…which rapidly became a consipracy-theory/rumor that a missile had accidentaly shot down 800.
The subsequent denial by the Navy only furthered the conspiracy theories….and the NTSB pooh-pooh-ed the theory despite several witnesses claiming they saw that trail of smoke shooting upwards toward the flight.

It’s my personal theory that meteors don’t come down through the atmosphere only at night. I believe they do this all day long…and many many times without any observation whatsoever.

The wreckage widely scattered along the sea-floor amonst the mud and rocks would not be likely allow a meteor fragment (if it survived the disintegration of atmospheric-penetration) to be distinguised from the common rocks and non-aircraft objects lying all around. I doubt anyone would be able to identify an incandescent, hot-glowing rock which fell thru the upper atmosphere and passed thru an airliners’ fuel tanks…rupturing the thank…exposing the ullage (fuel vapors) to the air …and creating an explosive mixture sufficient to blow-apart a Boeing 747.

That…. I believe is a much more believable theory than that a single Boeing fuel system in one airplane blew up while thousands of other similar airplanes never do.

YMMV
Any thoughts or experiences with UFOs ?
 

Borane4

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That is a great theory GeoHorn and very plausible. I would not rule out the Navy messing up, but that would be known as you cannot keep 500 twenty-somethings from posting it on Instagram.
 
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xrocketengineer

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What you are saying makes a lot of sense and it is very interesting. It is based on probabilities and it is not zero. However, like you say, it would be very hard to prove without finding the specific evidence. It seems that when these investigations get going, they get fixated on certain things based on familiarity and other possibilities are completely ignored.
One example that I can think off is when we lost the space shuttle Columbia. The only thing that from the beginning of the investigation that stood out was the big chunk of foam that came off the external tank and hit the left wing. Immediately, the NASA "gray beards" that were advising the investigation suggested that weakest point where the foam would have caused the damage would have been the thermal tiles along the edge of the main landing gear doors. Their reasoning was that the thermal tiles were cut with 45 degree bevel extending beyond the aluminum door skin to provide a better protection against the plasma during reentry. Therefore, their thoughts were "a cantilevered piece of fragile tile that can break off easily and opened up a direct path for the plasma to reach the aluminum skin". So, a landing gear door test article was obtained and fitted to a simulated section of a corresponding wing with the all the proper thermal tiles bonded just like the real thing. Then a series of tests were going to be performed shooting chunks of foam (speed, mass and size estimated from the launch videos) to confirm their theory. They shot the crap out of the simulated landing gear door at different angles and speed with no resulting damage.
While all this was going on, one of my engineers suggested to me and my boss that one possibility might be that instead of the thermal tiles being damaged by the chunk of foam, the foam might have hit instead one "weakened" wing leading edge gray panels made out of Reinforced Carbon Carbon (RCC) since he had been doing some experimental non destructive evaluation of the panels looking for "loss of mass with thermal cycles" at the request of the group in charge of those panels. To make a long story short, my engineer eventually presented his theory to our chief engineer and he almost got thrown out "for not properly coordinating with the investigation team". By this time the "investigation team" was running out foam ammunition and their thermal tile target was not budging. No other credible ideas had come up yet that would explain the loss of Columbia. In the mean time there were teams everywhere from Texas almost to Florida searching for Columbia's debris. Some of the things recovered had survived the reentry very well, like round propellant tanks but everything else did not fare that well. But after many , many days out of the blue a "Developmental Flight Instrumentation" (DFI) reel to reel recorder is recovered from the debris field. Even though the recorder and tape have some damage, the manufacturer manages to recover a significant amount of data (insert conspiracy theory here). The DFI recorder and data was unique to Columbia, no other orbiter had that. The data included temperature of the structure and components in the left wing and it indicated that a location on the leading edge of the wing showed increased in temperature until the sensor failed and subsequent sensors deeper within the wing showed the same trend indicating how the wing was breached and the propagation of the damage caused by the plasma.
After this discovery, the investigation team then decided to shoot the foam chunks at the same RCC panel from another orbiter and low and behold, it punched a hole of about 14 inches around on the panel on the first shot. The last piece of the puzzle came about from the debris collected since every piece had to be identified. Another one of my engineers from my "island of broken toys", that in his previous life had been an expert on RCC panels, located some of the remnants of the panel that was hit by the foam. The remnants of this panel indicated that it failed differently from the remnants of all the other panels recovered.
I hope this was not overly boring.
 
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Borane4

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I hope this was not overly boring.
Xrocketengineer - Far from it! During the Challenger investigation I was similarly in awe of Richard Feynman's demonstration in a cup of ice water that the o-rings lost flexibility in the cold.
 

lynnmor

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During the Challenger investigation I was similarly in awe of Richard Feynman's demonstration in a cup of ice water that the o-rings lost flexibility in the cold.
My nephew, who has the mechanical ability of a gnat, was on a business trip that was in the area of the launch site, he couldn't believe they were going to light the fuse on that thing in the extreme cold weather.
 

xrocketengineer

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My nephew, who has the mechanical ability of a gnat, was on a business trip that was in the area of the launch site, he couldn't believe they were going to light the fuse on that thing in the extreme cold weather.
That day I will not forget and regret being where I was. I had been in my new job for less than a year in operations and I had already decided to go back to engineering where I had been for around nine years prior to this. My boss had "gracefully " obtained (he copied it from a legit overlay on a copy machine with color paper) for me a roof access badge overlay to watch the launch from the roof of the Launch Control Center. This area was reserved mostly for VIP's and the astronauts families. The launch countdown proceeded as usual from my vantage point since we were only hearing the PA announcements which did not include all the background discussions about ice on the facility nor any concerns about the low temperatures. The count reached zero and Challenger launched, you could feel the vibration in your chest and hear the rumble the engines and all the other echoing effects from the buildings as with any other launch. The PA continued to narrate the progress of the flight and you could hear Mission Control and the astronauts talking. Around the two minute mark Houston announces "Go at throttle up" and the pilot acknowledges it. As we were watching the vehicle ascending, all of a sudden we noticed that the exhaust plume splits into two, forming this giant fork in the sky. At that time, everyone watching went quiet and dumbfounded. Nobody seems to know how to react, when all of a sudden, the astronauts children that were in front of us started screaming. Then the adults started reacting. My boss had a pair of binoculars and he started saying "Look, there is a chute, they are ok". I saw what he was talking about and I told him that the crew had no chutes, what he was looking at was the recovery chute of one of the solid rocket motor nose cones. Immediately, the security guards pushed everybody aside and escorted the crew families still sobbing and crying down the stairs and kept everybody else on the roof. It had been very cold that morning but on that roof after the sun came up it was almost unbearable and we spent there about an hour until the guards cleared us to come down. We were in lock down by then, nobody could leave nor come in and no phone calls. I was in disbelief of what had happened and I could not "unsee" what I had seen when I noticed my "fake" roof badge overlay. I took it off, tore it up and threw it away. After that day, I never wanted to watch a launch outside again. When I returned to engineering I would always be at a mechanical console in the Launch Control Center for every launch until I retired.
 

Thatoneguy

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Wow, i know this is a little late to post, but i appreciate you all taking the time to share those theories and facts of those historical moments. I wasnt even born yet when the challenger event happened and was only a small child when twa800 went down. (Part of the reason i dont like to fly). I recall the twa800 news coverage of it as a kid.

Both of those investigation had my interest as i grew older and have googled the cases a few times. Thank you for sharing. The meteor theory makes sense to me... i always scratched my head about the military shooting it down... i cant imagine launching a rocket in the middle of the ocean and no one knows anything about it. Weve been tracking foreign satellites in space for decades.

Thank you, i love reading about stuff like this.
 

Bmyers

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Wow, what interesting stories. Thanks for sharing.